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Proof Lab

Missed Winners

Resolved board props that hit, graded strong before the game, but were not promoted on a featured surface. This shows where the formula was right and the promotion layer stayed too quiet.
Candidate Review
Filters Clear
Missed Winners
89912
Resolved hits that were not featured
A+ Misses
11110
Cleanest hindsight proof rows
A Or Better
18997
Strong signal left off featured boards
Avg Grade
52.6
Avg confidence 58.9
By Sport
MLB 83523 | avg 53.6
NBA 965 | avg 44.3
WNBA 5424 | avg 37.6
By Grade
A+
11110
A
7887
B
16155
C
23291
D
31469
Top Stat Buckets
DOUBLES 9132 | A+ 6638
Avg grade 81.3 | conf 76.1
STOLEN BASES 4512 | A+ 3832
Avg grade 87.5 | conf 83.2
RBIS 9167 | A+ 381
Avg grade 62.1 | conf 61.4
BATTER WALKS 7886 | A+ 235
Avg grade 57.5 | conf 62.7
BLK 126 | A+ 19
Avg grade 57.2 | conf 62.4
PITCHER OUTS 987 | A+ 3
Avg grade 43.4 | conf 53.8
3PM 1037 | A+ 2
Avg grade 42.4 | conf 52.8
HITS + RUNS + RBIS 9927 | A+ 0
Avg grade 43.3 | conf 53.5
Could-Be Winners Leaderboard
Top 15 missed winners, sorted by missed-opportunity grade, then original confidence.
Top 15 / 250 Rows
Tristan Peters
MLB | | 2026-07-17
STOLEN BASES UNDER 0.5 Actual 0.0 | conf 99.0
Chicago White Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays Matchup context
99.0 confidence; Tier 1; 3 books; no obvious contradiction tag; full-board hit Full-board available MLB prop archive.
A+ 100
Read more
Proof99.0 confidence; Tier 1; 3 books; no obvious contradiction tag; full-board hit
BaselineFull-board available MLB prop archive.
UseReview this player/stat bucket before the next slate and decide whether the promotion rule is too quiet.
Nick Gonzales
MLB | | 2026-07-07
STOLEN BASES UNDER 0.5 Actual 0.0 | conf 99.0
Atlanta Braves @ Pittsburgh Pirates Matchup context
99.0 confidence; Tier 1; 3 books; no obvious contradiction tag; full-board hit Full-board available MLB prop archive.
A+ 100
Read more
Proof99.0 confidence; Tier 1; 3 books; no obvious contradiction tag; full-board hit
BaselineFull-board available MLB prop archive.
UseReview this player/stat bucket before the next slate and decide whether the promotion rule is too quiet.
Ian Happ
MLB | | 2026-07-07
STOLEN BASES UNDER 0.5 Actual 0.0 | conf 99.0
Chicago Cubs @ Baltimore Orioles Matchup context
99.0 confidence; Tier 1; 3 books; no obvious contradiction tag; full-board hit Full-board available MLB prop archive.
A+ 100
Read more
Proof99.0 confidence; Tier 1; 3 books; no obvious contradiction tag; full-board hit
BaselineFull-board available MLB prop archive.
UseReview this player/stat bucket before the next slate and decide whether the promotion rule is too quiet.
Willy Adames
MLB | | 2026-06-25
STOLEN BASES UNDER 0.5 Actual 0.0 | conf 99.0
Athletics @ San Francisco Giants Matchup context
99.0 confidence; Tier 1; 3 books; no obvious contradiction tag; full-board hit Full-board available MLB prop archive.
A+ 100
Read more
Proof99.0 confidence; Tier 1; 3 books; no obvious contradiction tag; full-board hit
BaselineFull-board available MLB prop archive.
UseReview this player/stat bucket before the next slate and decide whether the promotion rule is too quiet.
George Springer
MLB | | 2026-06-23
STOLEN BASES UNDER 0.5 Actual 0.0 | conf 99.0
Houston Astros @ Toronto Blue Jays Matchup context
99.0 confidence; Tier 1; 3 books; no obvious contradiction tag; full-board hit Full-board available MLB prop archive.
A+ 100
Read more
Proof99.0 confidence; Tier 1; 3 books; no obvious contradiction tag; full-board hit
BaselineFull-board available MLB prop archive.
UseReview this player/stat bucket before the next slate and decide whether the promotion rule is too quiet.
Taylor Ward
MLB | | 2026-06-22
STOLEN BASES UNDER 0.5 Actual 0.0 | conf 99.0
Baltimore Orioles @ Los Angeles Angels Matchup context
99.0 confidence; Tier 1; 3 books; no obvious contradiction tag; full-board hit Full-board available MLB prop archive.
A+ 100
Read more
Proof99.0 confidence; Tier 1; 3 books; no obvious contradiction tag; full-board hit
BaselineFull-board available MLB prop archive.
UseReview this player/stat bucket before the next slate and decide whether the promotion rule is too quiet.
Cedric Mullins
MLB | | 2026-06-22
STOLEN BASES UNDER 0.5 Actual 0.0 | conf 99.0
Kansas City Royals @ Tampa Bay Rays Matchup context
99.0 confidence; Tier 1; 3 books; no obvious contradiction tag; full-board hit Full-board available MLB prop archive.
A+ 100
Read more
Proof99.0 confidence; Tier 1; 3 books; no obvious contradiction tag; full-board hit
BaselineFull-board available MLB prop archive.
UseReview this player/stat bucket before the next slate and decide whether the promotion rule is too quiet.
Royce Lewis
MLB | | 2026-06-22
STOLEN BASES UNDER 0.5 Actual 0.0 | conf 99.0
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Minnesota Twins Matchup context
99.0 confidence; Tier 1; 3 books; no obvious contradiction tag; full-board hit Full-board available MLB prop archive.
A+ 100
Read more
Proof99.0 confidence; Tier 1; 3 books; no obvious contradiction tag; full-board hit
BaselineFull-board available MLB prop archive.
UseReview this player/stat bucket before the next slate and decide whether the promotion rule is too quiet.
Spencer Steer
MLB | | 2026-06-22
STOLEN BASES UNDER 0.5 Actual 0.0 | conf 99.0
Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds Matchup context
99.0 confidence; Tier 1; 3 books; no obvious contradiction tag; full-board hit Full-board available MLB prop archive.
A+ 100
Read more
Proof99.0 confidence; Tier 1; 3 books; no obvious contradiction tag; full-board hit
BaselineFull-board available MLB prop archive.
UseReview this player/stat bucket before the next slate and decide whether the promotion rule is too quiet.
Sam Antonacci
MLB | | 2026-06-21
STOLEN BASES UNDER 0.5 Actual 0.0 | conf 99.0
Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers Matchup context
99.0 confidence; Tier 1; 3 books; no obvious contradiction tag; full-board hit Full-board available MLB prop archive.
A+ 100
Read more
Proof99.0 confidence; Tier 1; 3 books; no obvious contradiction tag; full-board hit
BaselineFull-board available MLB prop archive.
UseReview this player/stat bucket before the next slate and decide whether the promotion rule is too quiet.
Brandon Nimmo
MLB | | 2026-06-21
STOLEN BASES UNDER 0.5 Actual 0.0 | conf 99.0
San Diego Padres @ Texas Rangers Matchup context
99.0 confidence; Tier 1; 3 books; no obvious contradiction tag; full-board hit Full-board available MLB prop archive.
A+ 100
Read more
Proof99.0 confidence; Tier 1; 3 books; no obvious contradiction tag; full-board hit
BaselineFull-board available MLB prop archive.
UseReview this player/stat bucket before the next slate and decide whether the promotion rule is too quiet.
Wilyer Abreu
MLB | | 2026-06-20
STOLEN BASES UNDER 0.5 Actual 0.0 | conf 99.0
Boston Red Sox @ Seattle Mariners Matchup context
99.0 confidence; Tier 1; 3 books; no obvious contradiction tag; full-board hit Full-board available MLB prop archive.
A+ 100
Read more
Proof99.0 confidence; Tier 1; 3 books; no obvious contradiction tag; full-board hit
BaselineFull-board available MLB prop archive.
UseReview this player/stat bucket before the next slate and decide whether the promotion rule is too quiet.
Marcus Semien
MLB | | 2026-06-20
STOLEN BASES UNDER 0.5 Actual 0.0 | conf 99.0
New York Mets @ Philadelphia Phillies Matchup context
99.0 confidence; Tier 1; 3 books; no obvious contradiction tag; full-board hit Full-board available MLB prop archive.
A+ 100
Read more
Proof99.0 confidence; Tier 1; 3 books; no obvious contradiction tag; full-board hit
BaselineFull-board available MLB prop archive.
UseReview this player/stat bucket before the next slate and decide whether the promotion rule is too quiet.
Xander Bogaerts
MLB | | 2026-06-20
STOLEN BASES UNDER 0.5 Actual 0.0 | conf 99.0
San Diego Padres @ Texas Rangers Matchup context
99.0 confidence; Tier 1; 3 books; no obvious contradiction tag; full-board hit Full-board available MLB prop archive.
A+ 100
Read more
Proof99.0 confidence; Tier 1; 3 books; no obvious contradiction tag; full-board hit
BaselineFull-board available MLB prop archive.
UseReview this player/stat bucket before the next slate and decide whether the promotion rule is too quiet.
Jung Hoo Lee
MLB | | 2026-06-20
STOLEN BASES UNDER 0.5 Actual 0.0 | conf 99.0
San Francisco Giants @ Miami Marlins Matchup context
99.0 confidence; Tier 1; 3 books; no obvious contradiction tag; full-board hit Full-board available MLB prop archive.
A+ 100
Read more
Proof99.0 confidence; Tier 1; 3 books; no obvious contradiction tag; full-board hit
BaselineFull-board available MLB prop archive.
UseReview this player/stat bucket before the next slate and decide whether the promotion rule is too quiet.